The Limits and Intensity of Plasmodium falciparum Transmission: Implications for Malaria Control and Elimination Worldwide
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{"title"=>"The limits and intensity of Plasmodium falciparum transmission: Implications for malaria control and elimination worldwide", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Carlos A.", "last_name"=>"Guerra", "scopus_author_id"=>"57128857000"}, {"first_name"=>"Priscilla W.", "last_name"=>"Gikandi", "scopus_author_id"=>"6504004641"}, {"first_name"=>"Andrew J.", "last_name"=>"Tatem", "scopus_author_id"=>"6603035928"}, {"first_name"=>"Abdisalan M.", "last_name"=>"Noor", "scopus_author_id"=>"7103299616"}, {"first_name"=>"Dave L.", "last_name"=>"Smith", "scopus_author_id"=>"55574206203"}, {"first_name"=>"Simon I.", "last_name"=>"Hay", "scopus_author_id"=>"7101875313"}, {"first_name"=>"Robert W.", "last_name"=>"Snow", "scopus_author_id"=>"56771582900"}], "year"=>2008, "source"=>"PLoS Medicine", "identifiers"=>{"issn"=>"15491277", "scopus"=>"2-s2.0-39849106369", "pui"=>"351317660", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038", "isbn"=>"1549-1277", "sgr"=>"39849106369", "pmid"=>"18303939"}, "id"=>"9ffff298-eabf-3d1e-99d8-e51f589ca48f", "abstract"=>"An increasing knowledge of the global risk of malaria shows that the nations of the Americas have the lowest levels of Plasmodium falciparum and P. vivax endemicity worldwide, sustained, in part, by substantive integrated vector control. To help maintain and better target these efforts, knowledge of the contemporary distribution of each of the dominant vector species (DVS) of human malaria is needed, alongside a comprehensive understanding of the ecology and behaviour of each species. A database of contemporary occurrence data for 41 of the DVS of human malaria was compiled from intensive searches of the formal and informal literature. The results for the nine DVS of the Americas are described in detail here. Nearly 6000 occurrence records were gathered from 25 countries in the region and were complemented by a synthesis of published expert opinion range maps, refined further by a technical advisory group of medical entomologists. A suite of environmental and climate variables of suspected relevance to anopheline ecology were also compiled from open access sources. These three sets of data were then combined to produce predictive species range maps using the Boosted Regression Tree method. The predicted geographic extent for each of the following species (or species complex*) are provided: Anopheles (Nyssorhynchus) albimanus Wiedemann, 1820, An. (Nys.) albitarsis*, An. (Nys.) aquasalis Curry, 1932, An. (Nys.) darlingi Root, 1926, An. (Anopheles) freeborni Aitken, 1939, An. (Nys.) marajoara Galvão & Damasceno, 1942, An. (Nys.) nuneztovari*, An. (Ano.) pseudopunctipennis* and An. (Ano.) quadrimaculatus Say, 1824. A bionomics review summarising ecology and behaviour relevant to the control of each of these species was also compiled. The distribution maps and bionomics review should both be considered as a starting point in an ongoing process of (i) describing the distributions of these DVS (since the opportunistic sample of occurrence data assembled can be substantially improved) and (ii) documenting their contemporary bionomics (since intervention and control pressures can act to modify behavioural traits). This is the first in a series of three articles describing the distribution of the 41 global DVS worldwide. The remaining two publications will describe those vectors found in (i) Africa, Europe and the Middle East and (ii) in Asia. All geographic distribution maps are being made available in the public domain according to the open access principles of the Malaria Atlas Project.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/limits-intensity-plasmodium-falciparum-transmission-implications-malaria-control-elimination-worldwi", "reader_count"=>390, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Unspecified"=>7, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>18, "Librarian"=>3, "Researcher"=>90, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>21, "Student > Ph. D. 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Figshare

  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/936500"], "description"=>"<p>Areas were defined as stable (dark-red areas, where <i>Pf</i>API ≥ 0.1 per thousand pa), unstable (pink areas, where <i>Pf</i>API < 0.1 per thousand pa), or no risk (light grey). The few areas for which no <i>Pf</i>API data could be obtained, mainly found in India, are coloured in dark grey. The borders of the 87 countries defined as P. falciparum endemic are shown. Highland areas where risk was excluded due to temperature appear in light grey. The aridity mask excluded risk in a step-wise fashion, reflected mainly in the larger extents of unstable (pink) areas compared to the top panel, particularly in the Sahel and southwest Asia (southern Iran and Pakistan).</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["malaria", "defined", "parasite", "incidence", "aridity"], "article_id"=>606944, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Carlos A Guerra", "Priscilla W Gikandi", "Andrew J Tatem", "Abdisalan M Noor", "Dave L Smith", "Simon I Hay", "Robert W Snow"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.g001", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>0, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_P_falciparum_Malaria_Risk_Defined_by_Annual_Parasite_Incidence_top_Temperature_and_Aridity_bottom_/606944", "title"=>"P. falciparum Malaria Risk Defined by Annual Parasite Incidence (top), Temperature, and Aridity (bottom)", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-02-26 01:55:44"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/936685"], "description"=>"<p>Community Surveys of P. falciparum Prevalence Conducted between 1985 and 2007 in AMRO</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["surveys", "prevalence", "conducted", "1985", "2007"], "article_id"=>607121, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Carlos A Guerra", "Priscilla W Gikandi", "Andrew J Tatem", "Abdisalan M Noor", "Dave L Smith", "Simon I Hay", "Robert W Snow"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.g003", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>0, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Community_Surveys_of_P_falciparum_Prevalence_Conducted_between_1985_and_2007_in_AMRO_/607121", "title"=>"Community Surveys of P. falciparum Prevalence Conducted between 1985 and 2007 in AMRO", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-02-26 01:58:41"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/936934"], "description"=>"<p>Thick black lines are the medians, and the light-blue boxes represent interquartile ranges; whiskers show extreme, non-outlier observations. Empty circles represent mild and/or extreme outliers. Sample sizes correspond to those shown in <a href=\"http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038#pmed-0050038-t002\" target=\"_blank\">Table 2</a>.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["whisker"], "article_id"=>607383, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Carlos A Guerra", "Priscilla W Gikandi", "Andrew J Tatem", "Abdisalan M Noor", "Dave L Smith", "Simon I Hay", "Robert W Snow"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.g006", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>0, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Box_and_Whisker_Plots_of_Pf_PR_2_8211_10_by_Period_and_WHO_Regions_/607383", "title"=>"Box and Whisker Plots of <i>Pf</i>PR<sub>2–10</sub> by Period and WHO Regions", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-02-26 02:03:03"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/936595"], "description"=>"<p>Other regions are shown in <a href=\"http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038#pmed-0050038-g003\" target=\"_blank\">Figures 3</a>–<a href=\"http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038#pmed-0050038-g005\" target=\"_blank\">5</a>. Of the 4,278 surveys reported globally, 4,092 could be geopositioned of which 3,686, shown in these figures, fell within the predicted limits of P. falciparum malaria risk. A total of 406 records, not shown in the figures, were found outside the limits, of which 46 reported presence of P. falciparum. Data shown are age-standardized (<i>Pf</i>PR<sub>2–10</sub>) and represented as a continuum from zero to 100%. <a href=\"http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038#pmed-0050038-t002\" target=\"_blank\">Table 2</a> and <a href=\"http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038#pmed-0050038-g006\" target=\"_blank\">Figure 6</a> present detailed descriptive statistics for these data.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["surveys", "prevalence", "conducted", "1985", "2007"], "article_id"=>607034, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Carlos A Guerra", "Priscilla W Gikandi", "Andrew J Tatem", "Abdisalan M Noor", "Dave L Smith", "Simon I Hay", "Robert W Snow"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.g002", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>0, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Community_Surveys_of_P_falciparum_Prevalence_Conducted_between_1985_and_2007_in_AFRO_/607034", "title"=>"Community Surveys of P. falciparum Prevalence Conducted between 1985 and 2007 in AFRO", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-02-26 01:57:14"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/936772"], "description"=>"<p>Community Surveys of P. falciparum Prevalence Conducted between 1985 and 2007 in EMRO-EURO</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["surveys", "prevalence", "conducted", "1985", "2007"], "article_id"=>607210, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Carlos A Guerra", "Priscilla W Gikandi", "Andrew J Tatem", "Abdisalan M Noor", "Dave L Smith", "Simon I Hay", "Robert W Snow"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.g004", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>0, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Community_Surveys_of_P_falciparum_Prevalence_Conducted_between_1985_and_2007_in_EMRO_EURO_/607210", "title"=>"Community Surveys of P. falciparum Prevalence Conducted between 1985 and 2007 in EMRO-EURO", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-02-26 02:00:10"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/461604", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/461707", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/461847"], "description"=>"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The efficient allocation of financial resources for malaria control using appropriate combinations of interventions requires accurate information on the geographic distribution of malaria risk. An evidence-based description of the global range of Plasmodium falciparum malaria and its endemicity has not been assembled in almost 40 y. This paper aims to define the global geographic distribution of P. falciparum malaria in 2007 and to provide a preliminary description of its transmission intensity within this range.</p> <h3>Methods and Findings</h3><p>The global spatial distribution of P. falciparum malaria was generated using nationally reported case-incidence data, medical intelligence, and biological rules of transmission exclusion, using temperature and aridity limits informed by the bionomics of dominant <em>Anopheles</em> vector species. A total of 4,278 spatially unique cross-sectional survey estimates of P. falciparum parasite rates were assembled. Extractions from a population surface showed that 2.37 billion people lived in areas at any risk of P. falciparum transmission in 2007. Globally, almost 1 billion people lived under unstable, or extremely low, malaria risk. Almost all P. falciparum parasite rates above 50% were reported in Africa in a latitude band consistent with the distribution of Anopheles gambiae s.s. Conditions of low parasite prevalence were also common in Africa, however. Outside of Africa, P. falciparum malaria prevalence is largely hypoendemic (less than 10%), with the median below 5% in the areas surveyed.</p> <h3>Conclusions</h3><p>This new map is a plausible representation of the current extent of P. falciparum risk and the most contemporary summary of the population at risk of P. falciparum malaria within these limits. For 1 billion people at risk of unstable malaria transmission, elimination is epidemiologically feasible, and large areas of Africa are more amenable to control than appreciated previously. The release of this information in the public domain will help focus future resources for P. falciparum malaria control and elimination.</p> </div>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["limits", "implications", "malaria", "elimination"], "article_id"=>150967, "categories"=>["Cancer", "Biotechnology"], "users"=>["Carlos A Guerra", "Priscilla W Gikandi", "Andrew J Tatem", "Abdisalan M Noor", "Dave L Smith", "Simon I Hay", "Robert W Snow"], "doi"=>["https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.sd001", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.sd002", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.st001"], "stats"=>{"downloads"=>25, "page_views"=>14, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/The_Limits_and_Intensity_of_Plasmodium_falciparum_Transmission_Implications_for_Malaria_Control_and_Elimination_Worldwide_/150967", "title"=>"The Limits and Intensity of <em>Plasmodium</em> <em>falciparum</em> Transmission: Implications for Malaria Control and Elimination Worldwide", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>4, "published_date"=>"2008-02-26 00:16:07"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/936871"], "description"=>"<p>Community Surveys of P. falciparum Prevalence Conducted between 1985 and 2007 in SEARO-WPRO</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["surveys", "prevalence", "conducted", "1985", "2007"], "article_id"=>607309, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Carlos A Guerra", "Priscilla W Gikandi", "Andrew J Tatem", "Abdisalan M Noor", "Dave L Smith", "Simon I Hay", "Robert W Snow"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050038.g005", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>1, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Community_Surveys_of_P_falciparum_Prevalence_Conducted_between_1985_and_2007_in_SEARO_WPRO_/607309", "title"=>"Community Surveys of P. falciparum Prevalence Conducted between 1985 and 2007 in SEARO-WPRO", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-02-26 02:01:49"}

PMC Usage Stats | Further Information

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Relative Metric

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