Comparative Analysis of Dengue and Zika Outbreaks Reveals Differences by Setting and Virus
Publication Date
December 07, 2016
Authors
Sebastian Funk, Adam J. Kucharski, Anton Camacho, Rosalind M. Eggo, et al
Volume
10
Issue
12
Pages
e0005173
DOI
https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0005173
Publisher URL
http://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pntd.0005173
Scopus
85008600010
Mendeley
http://www.mendeley.com/research/comparative-analysis-dengue-zika-outbreaks-reveals-differences-setting-virus
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Mendeley | Further Information

{"title"=>"Comparative Analysis of Dengue and Zika Outbreaks Reveals Differences by Setting and Virus", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Sebastian", "last_name"=>"Funk", "scopus_author_id"=>"26634997200"}, {"first_name"=>"Adam J.", "last_name"=>"Kucharski", "scopus_author_id"=>"54883807400"}, {"first_name"=>"Anton", "last_name"=>"Camacho", "scopus_author_id"=>"55909689300"}, {"first_name"=>"Rosalind M.", "last_name"=>"Eggo", "scopus_author_id"=>"36113351400"}, {"first_name"=>"Laith", "last_name"=>"Yakob", "scopus_author_id"=>"24463074400"}, {"first_name"=>"Lawrence M.", "last_name"=>"Murray", "scopus_author_id"=>"36976154200"}, {"first_name"=>"W. John", "last_name"=>"Edmunds", "scopus_author_id"=>"7006629172"}], "year"=>2016, "source"=>"PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases", "identifiers"=>{"pui"=>"613987265", "pmid"=>"27926933", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pntd.0005173", "issn"=>"19352735", "scopus"=>"2-s2.0-85008600010", "sgr"=>"85008600010", "isbn"=>"1935-2735\\r1935-2727"}, "id"=>"0c9c50fd-ced7-3fc7-bbeb-3bdd8e13787b", "abstract"=>"The pacific islands of Micronesia have experienced several outbreaks of mosquito-borne diseases over the past decade. Since these outbreaks occurred in confined island populations, their analysis can improve our understanding of the transmission dynamics of the pathogens involved, and particularly so for yet understudied pathogens such as Zika virus. Here, we compare three outbreaks of dengue and Zika virus in two different island settings in Micronesia, the Yap Main Islands and Fais, using a mathematical model of transmission dynamics, making full use of commonalities in disease and setting between the outbreaks. We found that the estimated reproduction numbers for Zika and dengue are similar when considered in the same setting, but that, conversely, reproduction number for the same disease can vary considerably by setting. On the Yap Main Islands, we estimate a mean reproduction number of 4.3 (95% credible interval 3.1-6.1) for the dengue outbreak and 4.8 (2.9-8.1) for the Zika outbreak, whereas for the dengue outbreak on Fais our mean estimate is 10 (5.5-18). We further found that the ranges of most disease-specific parameters largely overlap between dengue and Zika, but that reporting rates of Zika cases are much smaller (3%, 1-7) than those of dengue (68%, 43-98). These results suggests that models for dengue transmission can be useful for estimating the predicted dynamics of Zika transmission, but care must be taken when extrapolating findings from one setting to another. Field studies on differences in vector density and biting exposure, as well as comparative modelling studies in other settings, could yield important further insights into the relationship between the transmission dynamics of Zika and dengue, and the specific setting in which they occur.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/comparative-analysis-dengue-zika-outbreaks-reveals-differences-setting-virus", "reader_count"=>124, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Unspecified"=>2, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>6, "Librarian"=>1, "Researcher"=>44, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>5, "Student > Ph. D. 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Student"=>19, "Student > Postgraduate"=>2, "Student > Master"=>10, "Other"=>7, "Student > Bachelor"=>19, "Lecturer"=>3, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>1, "Professor"=>5}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Unspecified"=>10, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>33, "Arts and Humanities"=>1, "Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>2, "Chemistry"=>1, "Computer Science"=>2, "Decision Sciences"=>1, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>1, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>1, "Engineering"=>14, "Environmental Science"=>4, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>8, "Nursing and Health Professions"=>2, "Mathematics"=>14, "Medicine and Dentistry"=>19, "Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutical Science"=>2, "Social Sciences"=>5, "Immunology and Microbiology"=>4}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Medicine and Dentistry"=>{"Medicine and Dentistry"=>19}, "Social Sciences"=>{"Social Sciences"=>5}, "Decision Sciences"=>{"Decision Sciences"=>1}, "Mathematics"=>{"Mathematics"=>14}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>10}, "Environmental Science"=>{"Environmental Science"=>4}, "Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutical Science"=>{"Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutical Science"=>2}, "Arts and Humanities"=>{"Arts and Humanities"=>1}, "Engineering"=>{"Engineering"=>14}, "Chemistry"=>{"Chemistry"=>1}, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>{"Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>1}, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>{"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>1}, "Immunology and Microbiology"=>{"Immunology and Microbiology"=>4}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>33}, "Computer Science"=>{"Computer Science"=>2}, "Nursing and Health Professions"=>{"Nursing and Health Professions"=>2}, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>{"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>8}, "Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>{"Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>2}}, "reader_count_by_country"=>{"Canada"=>1, "United States"=>2, "Brazil"=>1, "United Kingdom"=>5}, "group_count"=>22}

Scopus | Further Information

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