Claims of Potential Expansion throughout the U.S. by Invasive Python Species Are Contradicted by Ecological Niche Models
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{"title"=>"Claims of potential expansion throughout the U.S. by invasive python species are contradicted by ecological niche models", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"R. Alexander", "last_name"=>"Pyron", "scopus_author_id"=>"18837505100"}, {"first_name"=>"Frank T.", "last_name"=>"Burbrink", "scopus_author_id"=>"6603392663"}, {"first_name"=>"Timothy J.", "last_name"=>"Guiher", "scopus_author_id"=>"23060109600"}], "year"=>2008, "source"=>"PLoS ONE", "identifiers"=>{"pmid"=>"18698351", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0002931", "sgr"=>"51449117847", "isbn"=>"1932-6203 (Electronic)\\r1932-6203 (Linking)", "scopus"=>"2-s2.0-51449117847", "issn"=>"19326203", "pui"=>"352320199"}, "id"=>"38026251-3b8b-3063-b215-2b8e09999d70", "abstract"=>"BACKGROUND: Recent reports from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) suggested that invasive Burmese pythons in the Everglades may quickly spread into many parts of the U.S. due to putative climatic suitability. Additionally, projected trends of global warming were predicted to significantly increase suitable habitat and promote range expansion by these snakes. However, the ecological limitations of the Burmese python are not known and the possible effects of global warming on the potential expansion of the species are also unclear. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Here we show that a predicted continental expansion is unlikely based on the ecology of the organism and the climate of the U.S. Our ecological niche models, which include variables representing climatic extremes as well as averages, indicate that the only suitable habitat in the U.S. for Burmese pythons presently occurs in southern Florida and in extreme southern Texas. Models based on the current distribution of the snake predict suitable habitat in essentially the only region in which the snakes are found in the U.S. Future climate models based on global warming forecasts actually indicate a significant contraction in suitable habitat for Burmese pythons in the U.S. as well as in their native range. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The Burmese python is strongly limited to the small area of suitable environmental conditions in the United States it currently inhabits due to the ecological niche preferences of the snake. The ability of the Burmese python to expand further into the U.S. is severely limited by ecological constraints. Global warming is predicted to significantly reduce the area of suitable habitat worldwide, underscoring the potential negative effects of climate change for many species.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/claims-potential-expansion-throughout-invasive-python-species-contradicted-ecological-niche-models", "reader_count"=>212, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Unspecified"=>4, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>11, "Librarian"=>1, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>13, "Researcher"=>31, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>42, "Student > Postgraduate"=>7, "Student > Master"=>43, "Other"=>10, "Student > Bachelor"=>38, "Lecturer"=>3, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>3, "Professor"=>6}, "reader_count_by_user_role"=>{"Unspecified"=>4, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>11, "Librarian"=>1, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>13, "Researcher"=>31, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>42, "Student > Postgraduate"=>7, "Student > Master"=>43, "Other"=>10, "Student > Bachelor"=>38, "Lecturer"=>3, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>3, "Professor"=>6}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Unspecified"=>5, "Environmental Science"=>35, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>2, "Mathematics"=>1, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>158, "Arts and Humanities"=>1, "Business, Management and Accounting"=>1, "Social Sciences"=>3, "Computer Science"=>1, "Decision Sciences"=>1, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>4}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Social Sciences"=>{"Social Sciences"=>3}, "Decision Sciences"=>{"Decision Sciences"=>1}, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>{"Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>4}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>158}, "Computer Science"=>{"Computer Science"=>1}, "Business, Management and Accounting"=>{"Business, Management and Accounting"=>1}, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>{"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>2}, "Mathematics"=>{"Mathematics"=>1}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>5}, "Environmental Science"=>{"Environmental Science"=>35}, "Arts and Humanities"=>{"Arts and Humanities"=>1}}, "reader_count_by_country"=>{"Canada"=>1, "Argentina"=>1, "Belgium"=>1, "United States"=>16, "Brazil"=>2, "Mexico"=>6, "France"=>1, "Chile"=>1, "Portugal"=>1, "Switzerland"=>1, "Germany"=>2, "India"=>2}, "group_count"=>5}

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Figshare

  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/455719"], "description"=>"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Recent reports from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) suggested that invasive Burmese pythons in the Everglades may quickly spread into many parts of the U.S. due to putative climatic suitability. Additionally, projected trends of global warming were predicted to significantly increase suitable habitat and promote range expansion by these snakes. However, the ecological limitations of the Burmese python are not known and the possible effects of global warming on the potential expansion of the species are also unclear.</p><h3>Methodology/Principal Findings</h3><p>Here we show that a predicted continental expansion is unlikely based on the ecology of the organism and the climate of the U.S. Our ecological niche models, which include variables representing climatic extremes as well as averages, indicate that the only suitable habitat in the U.S. for Burmese pythons presently occurs in southern Florida and in extreme southern Texas. Models based on the current distribution of the snake predict suitable habitat in essentially the only region in which the snakes are found in the U.S. Future climate models based on global warming forecasts actually indicate a significant contraction in suitable habitat for Burmese pythons in the U.S. as well as in their native range.</p><h3>Conclusions/Significance</h3><p>The Burmese python is strongly limited to the small area of suitable environmental conditions in the United States it currently inhabits due to the ecological niche preferences of the snake. The ability of the Burmese python to expand further into the U.S. is severely limited by ecological constraints. Global warming is predicted to significantly reduce the area of suitable habitat worldwide, underscoring the potential negative effects of climate change for many species.</p></div>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["claims", "invasive", "python", "are", "contradicted", "niche", "models"], "article_id"=>149760, "categories"=>["Evolutionary Biology", "Ecology"], "users"=>["R. Alexander Pyron", "Frank T. Burbrink", "Timothy J. Guiher"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0002931", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>6, "page_views"=>11, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/Claims_of_Potential_Expansion_throughout_the_U_S_by_Invasive_Python_Species_Are_Contradicted_by_Ecological_Niche_Models/149760", "title"=>"Claims of Potential Expansion throughout the U.S. by Invasive Python Species Are Contradicted by Ecological Niche Models", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>3, "published_date"=>"2008-08-13 02:42:40"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/923814"], "description"=>"<p>Model was generated using the nineteen BIOCLIM variables. The solid black line indicates the approximate current distribution of the pythons <a href=\"http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0002931#pone.0002931-Rodda1\" target=\"_blank\">[2]</a>. The blue triangles indicate the presence localities. The minimum training presence threshold was used as a cutoff for suitability. Presence localities are detailed in <a href=\"http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0002931#pone.0002931.s001\" target=\"_blank\">Table S1</a>.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["burmese", "python"], "article_id"=>594265, "categories"=>["Evolutionary Biology", "Ecology"], "users"=>["R. Alexander Pyron", "Frank T. Burbrink", "Timothy J. Guiher"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0002931.g001", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>3, "page_views"=>21, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Current_predicted_range_of_the_Burmese_Python_Python_molurus_in_southeast_Asia_/594265", "title"=>"Current predicted range of the Burmese Python (<i>Python molurus</i>) in southeast Asia.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-08-13 01:11:05"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/924050"], "description"=>"<p>Predicted future suitable habitat for <i>Python molurus</i> in their native range under the CCM3 model of global climate change (purple), overlayed on their current predicted distribution (red), indicating the predicted contraction in suitable habitat.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["ccm3", "overlayed", "contraction"], "article_id"=>594503, "categories"=>["Evolutionary Biology", "Ecology"], "users"=>["R. Alexander Pyron", "Frank T. Burbrink", "Timothy J. Guiher"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0002931.g004", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>5, "page_views"=>13, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Predicted_future_suitable_habitat_for_Python_molurus_in_their_native_range_under_the_CCM3_model_of_global_climate_change_purple_overlayed_on_their_current_predicted_distribution_red_indicating_the_predicted_contraction_in_suitable_habitat_/594503", "title"=>"Predicted future suitable habitat for <i>Python molurus</i> in their native range under the CCM3 model of global climate change (purple), overlayed on their current predicted distribution (red), indicating the predicted contraction in suitable habitat.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-08-13 01:15:03"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/923981"], "description"=>"<p>Future prediction of suitable habitat in the U.S. and surrounding areas for the Burmese python (<i>P. molurus</i>), based on projected global temperature increases generated from the CCM3 model.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["areas", "burmese", "python", "projected", "generated", "ccm3"], "article_id"=>594430, "categories"=>["Evolutionary Biology", "Ecology"], "users"=>["R. Alexander Pyron", "Frank T. Burbrink", "Timothy J. Guiher"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0002931.g003", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>2, "page_views"=>19, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Future_prediction_of_suitable_habitat_in_the_U_S_and_surrounding_areas_for_the_Burmese_python_P_molurus_based_on_projected_global_temperature_increases_generated_from_the_CCM3_model_/594430", "title"=>"Future prediction of suitable habitat in the U.S. and surrounding areas for the Burmese python (<i>P. molurus</i>), based on projected global temperature increases generated from the CCM3 model.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-08-13 01:13:50"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/923902"], "description"=>"<p>No other areas in the U.S. were predicted as suitable outside of southern Peninsular Florida and southern Texas.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["united", "states", "adjacent"], "article_id"=>594351, "categories"=>["Evolutionary Biology", "Ecology"], "users"=>["R. Alexander Pyron", "Frank T. Burbrink", "Timothy J. Guiher"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0002931.g002", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>5, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Current_prediction_of_suitable_habitat_for_P_molurus_in_the_United_States_and_adjacent_Central_America_/594351", "title"=>"Current prediction of suitable habitat for <i>P. molurus</i> in the United States and adjacent Central America.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2008-08-13 01:12:31"}

PMC Usage Stats | Further Information

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  • {"unique-ip"=>"51", "full-text"=>"62", "pdf"=>"9", "scanned-summary"=>"0", "scanned-page-browse"=>"0", "figure"=>"8", "supp-data"=>"0", "cited-by"=>"2", "year"=>"2020", "month"=>"4"}
  • {"unique-ip"=>"33", "full-text"=>"38", "pdf"=>"4", "scanned-summary"=>"0", "scanned-page-browse"=>"0", "figure"=>"0", "supp-data"=>"0", "cited-by"=>"0", "year"=>"2020", "month"=>"5"}
  • {"unique-ip"=>"14", "full-text"=>"15", "pdf"=>"3", "scanned-summary"=>"0", "scanned-page-browse"=>"0", "figure"=>"0", "supp-data"=>"0", "cited-by"=>"1", "year"=>"2020", "month"=>"6"}

Relative Metric

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