Climate Change and American Bullfrog Invasion: What Could We Expect in South America?
Publication Date
October 03, 2011
Journal
PLOS ONE
Authors
Javier Nori, J. Nicolás Urbina Cardona, Rafael D. Loyola, Julián N. Lescano, et al
Volume
6
Issue
10
Pages
e25718
DOI
https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0025718
Publisher URL
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0025718
PubMed
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21991339
PubMed Central
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3185029
Europe PMC
http://europepmc.org/abstract/MED/21991339
Web of Science
000295943000059
Scopus
80053460811
Mendeley
http://www.mendeley.com/research/climate-change-american-bullfrog-invasion-we-expect-south-america
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Mendeley | Further Information

{"title"=>"Climate change and American Bullfrog invasion: What could we expect in South America?", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Javier", "last_name"=>"Nori", "scopus_author_id"=>"36135600200"}, {"first_name"=>"J. Nicolás", "last_name"=>"Urbina-Cardona", "scopus_author_id"=>"57196464395"}, {"first_name"=>"Rafael D.", "last_name"=>"Loyola", "scopus_author_id"=>"16507526800"}, {"first_name"=>"Julián N.", "last_name"=>"Lescano", "scopus_author_id"=>"26644985200"}, {"first_name"=>"Gerardo C.", "last_name"=>"Leynaud", "scopus_author_id"=>"8528323700"}], "year"=>2011, "source"=>"PLoS ONE", "identifiers"=>{"sgr"=>"80053460811", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0025718", "pui"=>"362681674", "pmid"=>"21991339", "scopus"=>"2-s2.0-80053460811", "issn"=>"19326203", "isbn"=>"1932-6203"}, "id"=>"84f6d56b-0316-3717-99df-a21bf1bbc33b", "abstract"=>"BACKGROUND: Biological invasion and climate change pose challenges to biodiversity conservation in the 21(st) century. Invasive species modify ecosystem structure and functioning and climatic changes are likely to produce invasive species' range shifts pushing some populations into protected areas. The American Bullfrog (Lithobates catesbeianus) is one of the hundred worst invasive species in the world. Native from the southeast of USA, it has colonized more than 75% of South America where it has been reported as a highly effective predator, competitor and vector of amphibian diseases.\\n\\nMETHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We modeled the potential distribution of the bullfrog in its native range based on different climate models and green-house gases emission scenarios, and projected the results onto South America for the years of 2050 and 2080. We also overlaid projected models onto the South American network of protected areas. Our results indicate a slight decrease in potential suitable area for bullfrog invasion, although protected areas will become more climatically suitable. Therefore, invasion of these sites is forecasted.\\n\\nCONCLUSION/SIGNIFICANCE: We provide new evidence supporting the vulnerability of the Atlantic Forest Biodiversity Hotspot to bullfrog invasion and call attention to optimal future climatic conditions of the Andean-Patagonian forest, eastern Paraguay, and northwestern Bolivia, where invasive populations have not been found yet. We recommend several management and policy strategies to control bullfrog invasion and argue that these would be possible if based on appropriate articulation among government agencies, NGOs, research institutions and civil society.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/climate-change-american-bullfrog-invasion-we-expect-south-america", "reader_count"=>187, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Unspecified"=>4, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>12, "Librarian"=>1, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>16, "Researcher"=>41, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>33, "Student > Postgraduate"=>9, "Student > Master"=>15, "Other"=>8, "Student > Bachelor"=>38, "Lecturer"=>1, "Professor"=>9}, "reader_count_by_user_role"=>{"Unspecified"=>4, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>12, "Librarian"=>1, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>16, "Researcher"=>41, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>33, "Student > Postgraduate"=>9, "Student > Master"=>15, "Other"=>8, "Student > Bachelor"=>38, "Lecturer"=>1, "Professor"=>9}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Unspecified"=>8, "Engineering"=>1, "Environmental Science"=>39, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>5, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>124, "Medicine and Dentistry"=>3, "Business, Management and Accounting"=>1, "Social Sciences"=>1, "Computer Science"=>2, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>3}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Engineering"=>{"Engineering"=>1}, "Medicine and Dentistry"=>{"Medicine and Dentistry"=>3}, "Social Sciences"=>{"Social Sciences"=>1}, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>{"Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>3}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>124}, "Computer Science"=>{"Computer Science"=>2}, "Business, Management and Accounting"=>{"Business, Management and Accounting"=>1}, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>{"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>5}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>8}, "Environmental Science"=>{"Environmental Science"=>39}}, "reader_count_by_country"=>{"Colombia"=>3, "Argentina"=>1, "Sweden"=>1, "Romania"=>1, "United States"=>6, "Brazil"=>13, "Italy"=>1, "Mexico"=>1, "Switzerland"=>1, "Germany"=>2}, "group_count"=>15}

Scopus | Further Information

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Figshare

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  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/729687"], "description"=>"<p>Each map shows suitability values (red gradient) and novel conditions (gray) at one of the three analyzed time slices.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["novels", "conditions", "cccma-cgcm31"], "article_id"=>400041, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Inorganic Chemistry", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Javier Nori", "J. Nicolás Urbina-Cardona", "Rafael D. Loyola", "Julián N. Lescano", "Gerardo C. Leynaud"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0025718.g004", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>5, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Suitability_values_and_novels_conditions_of_the_CCCMA_CGCM31_scenario_/400041", "title"=>"Suitability values and novels conditions of the CCCMA-CGCM31 scenario.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2011-10-03 00:00:41"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/729775"], "description"=>"<p>Percentage of suitable surface of all the IUCN protected areas in the continent for <i>Lithobates catesbeianus</i> at the three analyzed time slices and AOGCMs.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["protected"], "article_id"=>400135, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Inorganic Chemistry", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Javier Nori", "J. Nicolás Urbina-Cardona", "Rafael D. Loyola", "Julián N. Lescano", "Gerardo C. Leynaud"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0025718.g005", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>3, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Histogram_of_suitable_protected_areas_/400135", "title"=>"Histogram of suitable protected areas.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2011-10-03 00:02:15"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/729570"], "description"=>"<p>Percentage of suitable surface of the entire continent for <i>Lithobates catesbeianus</i> at the three analyzed time slices and AOGCMs.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["ecology", "marine and aquatic sciences", "computer science"], "article_id"=>399929, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Inorganic Chemistry", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Javier Nori", "J. Nicolás Urbina-Cardona", "Rafael D. Loyola", "Julián N. Lescano", "Gerardo C. Leynaud"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0025718.g003", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>1, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Histogram_of_suitable_surface_/399929", "title"=>"Histogram of suitable surface.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2011-10-03 02:45:29"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/729471"], "description"=>"<p>Each map shows potential suitable areas for <i>Lithobates catesbeianus</i> at one of the three different analyzed AOGCMs, classified in: Retraction (suitable areas at present but not at 2050), Expansion (suitable areas at 2050 but not at present conditions) and suitable areas at present and at 2050.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["projections"], "article_id"=>399831, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Inorganic Chemistry", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Javier Nori", "J. Nicolás Urbina-Cardona", "Rafael D. Loyola", "Julián N. Lescano", "Gerardo C. Leynaud"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0025718.g002", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>1, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Comparison_between_results_of_projections_at_present_and_2050_/399831", "title"=>"Comparison between results of projections at present and 2050.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2011-10-03 02:43:51"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/369731", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/369798"], "description"=>"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Biological invasion and climate change pose challenges to biodiversity conservation in the 21<sup>st</sup> century. Invasive species modify ecosystem structure and functioning and climatic changes are likely to produce invasive species' range shifts pushing some populations into protected areas. The American Bullfrog (<em>Lithobates catesbeianus</em>) is one of the hundred worst invasive species in the world. Native from the southeast of USA, it has colonized more than 75% of South America where it has been reported as a highly effective predator, competitor and vector of amphibian diseases.</p> <h3>Methodology/Principal Findings</h3><p>We modeled the potential distribution of the bullfrog in its native range based on different climate models and green-house gases emission scenarios, and projected the results onto South America for the years of 2050 and 2080. We also overlaid projected models onto the South American network of protected areas. Our results indicate a slight decrease in potential suitable area for bullfrog invasion, although protected areas will become more climatically suitable. Therefore, invasion of these sites is forecasted.</p> <h3>Conclusion/Significance</h3><p>We provide new evidence supporting the vulnerability of the Atlantic Forest Biodiversity Hotspot to bullfrog invasion and call attention to optimal future climatic conditions of the Andean-Patagonian forest, eastern Paraguay, and northwestern Bolivia, where invasive populations have not been found yet. We recommend several management and policy strategies to control bullfrog invasion and argue that these would be possible if based on appropriate articulation among government agencies, NGOs, research institutions and civil society.</p> </div>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["american", "bullfrog"], "article_id"=>133048, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Inorganic Chemistry", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Javier Nori", "J. Nicolás Urbina-Cardona", "Rafael D. Loyola", "Julián N. Lescano", "Gerardo C. Leynaud"], "doi"=>["https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0025718.s001", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0025718.s002"], "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>12, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/Climate_Change_and_American_Bullfrog_Invasion_What_Could_We_Expect_in_South_America_/133048", "title"=>"Climate Change and American Bullfrog Invasion: What Could We Expect in South America?", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>4, "published_date"=>"2011-10-03 00:50:48"}

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Relative Metric

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