Atlantic Bluefin Tuna: A Novel Multistock Spatial Model for Assessing Population Biomass
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{"title"=>"Atlantic bluefin tuna: A novel multistock spatial model for assessing population biomass", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Nathan G.", "last_name"=>"Taylor", "scopus_author_id"=>"8506514600"}, {"first_name"=>"Murdoch K.", "last_name"=>"McAllister", "scopus_author_id"=>"7102448107"}, {"first_name"=>"Gareth L.", "last_name"=>"Lawson", "scopus_author_id"=>"7102968869"}, {"first_name"=>"Tom", "last_name"=>"Carruthers", "scopus_author_id"=>"36561006100"}, {"first_name"=>"Barbara A.", "last_name"=>"Block", "scopus_author_id"=>"7006107013"}], "year"=>2011, "source"=>"PLoS ONE", "identifiers"=>{"scopus"=>"2-s2.0-83055182160", "sgr"=>"83055182160", "issn"=>"19326203", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0027693", "pmid"=>"22174745", "isbn"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0027693", "pui"=>"363060397"}, "id"=>"147c7a4c-4b67-3e62-a889-f21e84c861b7", "abstract"=>"Atlantic bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus) is considered to be overfished, but the status of its populations has been debated, partly because of uncertainties regarding the effects of mixing on fishing grounds. A better understanding of spatial structure and mixing may help fisheries managers to successfully rebuild populations to sustainable levels while maximizing catches. We formulate a new seasonally and spatially explicit fisheries model that is fitted to conventional and electronic tag data, historic catch-at-age reconstructions, and otolith microchemistry stock-composition data to improve the capacity to assess past, current, and future population sizes of Atlantic bluefin tuna. We apply the model to estimate spatial and temporal mixing of the eastern (Mediterranean) and western (Gulf of Mexico) populations, and to reconstruct abundances from 1950 to 2008. We show that western and eastern populations have been reduced to 17% and 33%, respectively, of 1950 spawning stock biomass levels. Overfishing to below the biomass that produces maximum sustainable yield occurred in the 1960s and the late 1990s for western and eastern populations, respectively. The model predicts that mixing depends on season, ontogeny, and location, and is highest in the western Atlantic. Assuming that future catches are zero, western and eastern populations are predicted to recover to levels at maximum sustainable yield by 2025 and 2015, respectively. However, the western population will not recover with catches of 1750 and 12,900 tonnes (the \"rebuilding quotas\") in the western and eastern Atlantic, respectively, with or without closures in the Gulf of Mexico. If future catches are double the rebuilding quotas, then rebuilding of both populations will be compromised. If fishing were to continue in the eastern Atlantic at the unregulated levels of 2007, both stocks would continue to decline. Since populations mix on North Atlantic foraging grounds, successful rebuilding policies will benefit from trans-Atlantic cooperation.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/atlantic-bluefin-tuna-novel-multistock-spatial-model-assessing-population-biomass-4", "reader_count"=>83, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Unspecified"=>2, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>1, "Researcher"=>26, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>2, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>18, "Student > Postgraduate"=>4, "Student > Master"=>15, "Other"=>7, "Student > Bachelor"=>5, "Lecturer"=>2, "Professor"=>1}, "reader_count_by_user_role"=>{"Unspecified"=>2, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>1, "Researcher"=>26, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>2, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>18, "Student > Postgraduate"=>4, "Student > Master"=>15, "Other"=>7, "Student > Bachelor"=>5, "Lecturer"=>2, "Professor"=>1}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Unspecified"=>3, "Environmental Science"=>14, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>1, "Mathematics"=>2, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>53, "Neuroscience"=>1, "Physics and Astronomy"=>1, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>7, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>1}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Neuroscience"=>{"Neuroscience"=>1}, "Physics and Astronomy"=>{"Physics and Astronomy"=>1}, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>{"Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>7}, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>{"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>1}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>53}, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>{"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>1}, "Mathematics"=>{"Mathematics"=>2}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>3}, "Environmental Science"=>{"Environmental Science"=>14}}, "reader_count_by_country"=>{"Canada"=>1, "United States"=>1, "Philippines"=>1, "Mexico"=>1, "France"=>1}, "group_count"=>2}

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  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358041", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358089", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358128", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358164", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358210", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358246", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358292", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358349", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358384", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358423", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358450", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358487", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358528", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358582", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358622", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358682", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/358751"], "description"=>"<div><p>Atlantic bluefin tuna <em>(Thunnus thynnus)</em> is consideredto be overfished, but the status of its populations has been debated, partlybecause of uncertainties regarding the effects of mixing on fishing grounds.A better understanding of spatial structure and mixing may help fisheriesmanagers to successfully rebuild populations to sustainable levels while maximizingcatches. We formulate a new seasonally and spatially explicit fisheries modelthat is fitted to conventional and electronic tag data, historic catch-at-agereconstructions, and otolith microchemistry stock-composition data to improvethe capacity to assess past, current, and future population sizes of Atlanticbluefin tuna. We apply the model to estimate spatial and temporal mixing ofthe eastern (Mediterranean) and western (Gulf of Mexico) populations, andto reconstruct abundances from 1950 to 2008. We show that western and easternpopulations have been reduced to 17% and 33%, respectively,of 1950 spawning stock biomass levels. Overfishing to below the biomass thatproduces maximum sustainable yield occurred in the 1960s and the late 1990sfor western and eastern populations, respectively. The model predicts thatmixing depends on season, ontogeny, and location, and is highest in the westernAtlantic. Assuming that future catches are zero, western and eastern populationsare predicted to recover to levels at maximum sustainable yield by 2025 and2015, respectively. However, the western population will not recover withcatches of 1750 and 12,900 tonnes (the “rebuilding quotas”) inthe western and eastern Atlantic, respectively, with or without closures inthe Gulf of Mexico. If future catches are double the rebuilding quotas, thenrebuilding of both populations will be compromised. If fishing were to continuein the eastern Atlantic at the unregulated levels of 2007, both stocks wouldcontinue to decline. Since populations mix on North Atlantic foraging grounds,successful rebuilding policies will benefit from trans-Atlantic cooperation.</p> </div>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["atlantic", "bluefin", "multistock", "spatial", "assessing", "biomass"], "article_id"=>130765, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Nathan\nG. Taylor", "Murdoch\nK. McAllister", "Gareth\nL. Lawson", "Tom Carruthers", "Barbara\nA. Block"], "doi"=>["https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s001", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s002", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s003", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s004", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s005", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s006", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s007", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s008", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s009", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s010", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s011", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s012", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s013", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s014", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s015", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s016", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.s017"], "stats"=>{"downloads"=>15, "page_views"=>12, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/Atlantic_Bluefin_Tuna_A_Novel_Multistock_Spatial_Model_for_Assessing_Population_Biomass/130765", "title"=>"Atlantic Bluefin Tuna: A Novel Multistock Spatial Model for Assessing Population Biomass", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>4, "published_date"=>"2011-12-09 00:12:45"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/705006"], "description"=>"<p>The horizontal lines within the blue bars represent the posterior median\nvalues, the blue bars represent the interquartile values, and whiskers are\n1.5 times the interquartile range.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["plots", "biomass", "quotas", "tuna", "stocks", "fisheries", "closures", "catches", "1750", "mt", "gulf", "mexico"], "article_id"=>375343, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Nathan\nG. Taylor", "Murdoch\nK. McAllister", "Gareth\nL. Lawson", "Tom Carruthers", "Barbara\nA. Block"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.g004", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>3, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Box_plots_of_the_predicted_ratio_of_biomass_to_the_biomass_that_would_produce_maximum_sustainable_yield_B_t_B_MSY_under_alternative_management_quotas_for_western_left_column_and_eastern_right_column_Atlantic_bluefin_tuna_stocks_under_various_scenarios_to/375343", "title"=>"Box plots of the predicted ratio of biomass to the biomass that would\nproduce maximum sustainable yield (B<sub>t</sub>/B<sub>MSY</sub>) under alternative\nmanagement quotas for western (left column) and eastern (right column) Atlantic\nbluefin tuna stocks under various scenarios: total fisheries closures (A and\nB); catches at 1750 mt West and 12,900 mt East, with a Gulf of Mexico closure\n(C and D); catches at 1750 mt West and 12,900 mt East, with no Gulf of Mexico\nclosure (E and F); catches at 1750 mt West and 25,800 mt East (G and H); and\ncatches at 1750 mt West and 60,000 mt East (I and J).", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2011-12-09 01:29:03"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/704633"], "description"=>"<p>The horizontal lines within the blue bars represent the posterior median\nvalues, the blue bars represent the interquartile values, and whiskers are\n1.5 times the interquartile range. The dashed horizontal lines represent the\nspawning stock biomass that would produce maximum sustainable yield.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["plots", "posterior", "samples", "spawning", "biomass", "atlantic", "bluefin"], "article_id"=>374980, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Nathan\nG. Taylor", "Murdoch\nK. McAllister", "Gareth\nL. Lawson", "Tom Carruthers", "Barbara\nA. Block"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.g001", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>4, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Box_plots_of_posterior_samples_of_the_spawning_stock_biomass_kt_of_A_western_and_B_eastern_Atlantic_bluefin_tuna_/374980", "title"=>"Box plots of posterior samples of the spawning stock biomass (kt) of\n(A) western and (B) eastern Atlantic bluefin tuna.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2011-12-09 01:23:00"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/704881"], "description"=>"<p>Predicted ratio of the numbers of western Atlantic bluefin tuna to\ntotal numbers of tuna from 1950 to 2008 in the (A) western Atlantic Ocean\nand (B) eastern Atlantic Ocean during the first quarter (black), second quarter\n(red), third quarter (green), and fourth quarter (blue).</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["numbers", "atlantic", "bluefin", "tuna", "1950", "2008"], "article_id"=>375234, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Nathan\nG. Taylor", "Murdoch\nK. McAllister", "Gareth\nL. Lawson", "Tom Carruthers", "Barbara\nA. Block"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.g003", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>3, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Predicted_ratio_of_the_numbers_of_western_Atlantic_bluefin_tuna_to_total_numbers_of_tuna_from_1950_to_2008_in_the_A_western_Atlantic_Ocean_and_B_eastern_Atlantic_Ocean_during_the_first_quarter_black_second_quarter_red_third_quarter_green_and_fourth_quart/375234", "title"=>"Predicted ratio of the numbers of western Atlantic bluefin tuna to\ntotal numbers of tuna from 1950 to 2008 in the (A) western Atlantic Ocean\nand (B) eastern Atlantic Ocean during the first quarter (black), second quarter\n(red), third quarter (green), and fourth quarter (blue).", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2011-12-09 01:27:14"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/704741"], "description"=>"<p>Red and green dotted lines represent <i>F<sub>msy</sub></i> for\nwestern and eastern stocks, respectively.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["rates", "tuna", "longline", "purse-seine", "bait", "types", "gulf", "atlantic"], "article_id"=>375085, "categories"=>["Information And Computing Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Nathan\nG. Taylor", "Murdoch\nK. McAllister", "Gareth\nL. Lawson", "Tom Carruthers", "Barbara\nA. Block"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027693.g002", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>18, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Mean_annual_fishing_mortality_rates_yr_1_for_Atlantic_bluefin_tuna_by_longline_LL_purse_seine_PS_bait_boat_BB_and_other_Oth_gear_types_in_A_the_Gulf_of_Mexico_B_the_Gulf_of_St_Lawrence_C_the_western_Atlantic_Ocean_D_the_eastern_Atlantic_Ocean_and_E_the_M/375085", "title"=>"Mean annual fishing mortality rates (yr<sup>-1</sup>) for Atlantic\nbluefin tuna by longline (LL), purse-seine (PS), bait boat (BB), and other\n(Oth) gear types in (A) the Gulf of Mexico, (B) the Gulf of St. Lawrence,\n(C) the western Atlantic Ocean, (D) the eastern Atlantic Ocean, and (E) the\nMediterranean Sea.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2011-12-09 01:24:45"}

PMC Usage Stats | Further Information

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Relative Metric

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