Effect of Vaccines and Antivirals during the Major 2009 A(H1N1) Pandemic Wave in Norway – And the Influence of Vaccination Timing
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{"title"=>"Effect of vaccines and antivirals during the major 2009 a(H1N1) pandemic wave in norway - and the influence of vaccination timing", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Birgitte", "last_name"=>"Freiesleben de Blasio", "scopus_author_id"=>"35388237700"}, {"first_name"=>"Bjørn G.", "last_name"=>"Iversen", "scopus_author_id"=>"7004755093"}, {"first_name"=>"Gianpaolo", "last_name"=>"Tomba", "scopus_author_id"=>"22136694200"}], "year"=>2012, "source"=>"PLoS ONE", "identifiers"=>{"sgr"=>"84855572970", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0030018", "pui"=>"364062221", "pmid"=>"22253862", "scopus"=>"2-s2.0-84855572970", "issn"=>"19326203", "isbn"=>"1932-6203"}, "id"=>"c76686e5-a91b-37ca-a814-4efc744b3f18", "abstract"=>"To evaluate the impact of mass vaccination with adjuvanted vaccines (eventually 40% population coverage) and antivirals during the 2009 influenza pandemic in Norway, we fitted an age-structured SEIR model using data on vaccinations and sales of antivirals in 2009/10 in Norway to Norwegian ILI surveillance data from 5 October 2009 to 4 January 2010. We estimate a clinical attack rate of approximately 30% (28.7-29.8%), with highest disease rates among children 0-14 years (43-44%). Vaccination started in week 43 and came too late to have a strong influence on the pandemic in Norway. Our results indicate that the countermeasures prevented approximately 11-12% of potential cases relative to an unmitigated pandemic. Vaccination was found responsible for roughly 3 in 4 of the avoided infections. An estimated 50% reduction in the clinical attack rate would have resulted from vaccination alone, had the campaign started 6 weeks earlier. Had vaccination been prioritized for children first, the intervention should have commenced approximately 5 weeks earlier in order to achieve the same 50% reduction. In comparison, we estimate that a non-adjuvanted vaccination program should have started 8 weeks earlier to lower the clinical attack rate by 50%. In conclusion, vaccination timing was a critical factor in relation to the spread of the 2009 A(H1N1) influenza. Our results also corroborate the central role of children for the transmission of A(H1N1) pandemic influenza.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/effect-vaccines-antivirals-during-major-2009-ah1n1-pandemic-wave-norway-influence-vaccination-timing", "reader_count"=>26, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Professor > Associate Professor"=>1, "Researcher"=>7, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>7, "Student > Postgraduate"=>2, "Other"=>2, "Student > Master"=>3, "Student > Bachelor"=>2, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>1, "Professor"=>1}, "reader_count_by_user_role"=>{"Professor > Associate Professor"=>1, "Researcher"=>7, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>7, "Student > Postgraduate"=>2, "Other"=>2, "Student > Master"=>3, "Student > Bachelor"=>2, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>1, "Professor"=>1}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Unspecified"=>2, "Materials Science"=>1, "Mathematics"=>1, "Medicine and Dentistry"=>11, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>3, "Arts and Humanities"=>1, "Psychology"=>3, "Social Sciences"=>1, "Immunology and Microbiology"=>2, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>1}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Materials Science"=>{"Materials Science"=>1}, "Medicine and Dentistry"=>{"Medicine and Dentistry"=>11}, "Social Sciences"=>{"Social Sciences"=>1}, "Psychology"=>{"Psychology"=>3}, "Immunology and Microbiology"=>{"Immunology and Microbiology"=>2}, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>{"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>1}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>3}, "Mathematics"=>{"Mathematics"=>1}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>2}, "Arts and Humanities"=>{"Arts and Humanities"=>1}}, "reader_count_by_country"=>{"United States"=>2, "France"=>1}, "group_count"=>4}

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  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/694583"], "description"=>"<p>The unmitigated pandemic is shown with thick line; no use of antivirals was implemented in these simulations (p_use = 0%).</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["vaccination", "pandemic"], "article_id"=>365019, "categories"=>["Virology", "Mathematics", "Biological Sciences", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Birgitte Freiesleben de Blasio", "Bjørn G. Iversen", "Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba"], "doi"=>["https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0030018.g006"], "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>0, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_The_effect_of_timing_of_vaccination_start_on_the_pandemic_curve_/365019", "title"=>"The effect of timing of vaccination start on the pandemic curve.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2013-02-20 10:05:57"}
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PMC Usage Stats | Further Information

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Relative Metric

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