A Nice Day for an Infection? Weather Conditions and Social Contact Patterns Relevant to Influenza Transmission
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{"title"=>"A Nice Day for an Infection? Weather Conditions and Social Contact Patterns Relevant to Influenza Transmission", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Lander", "last_name"=>"Willem", "scopus_author_id"=>"54792281700"}, {"first_name"=>"Kim", "last_name"=>"van Kerckhove", "scopus_author_id"=>"55484699900"}, {"first_name"=>"Dennis L.", "last_name"=>"Chao", "scopus_author_id"=>"7103350967"}, {"first_name"=>"Niel", "last_name"=>"Hens", "scopus_author_id"=>"55883470500"}, {"first_name"=>"Philippe", "last_name"=>"Beutels", "scopus_author_id"=>"7004335473"}], "year"=>2012, "source"=>"PLoS ONE", "identifiers"=>{"scopus"=>"2-s2.0-84869125782", "sgr"=>"84869125782", "issn"=>"19326203", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0048695", "pmid"=>"23155399", "isbn"=>"1932-6203", "pui"=>"366053586"}, "id"=>"b82ad1de-ffd8-3c47-9873-6d7150de1e62", "abstract"=>"Although there is no doubt that significant morbidity and mortality occur during annual influenza epidemics, the role of contextual circumstances, which catalyze seasonal influenza transmission, remains unclear. Weather conditions are believed to affect virus survival, efficiency of transmission and host immunity, but seasonality may also be driven by a tendency of people to congregate indoors during periods of bad weather. To test this hypothesis, we combined data from a social contact survey in Belgium with local weather data. In the absence of a previous in-depth weather impact analysis of social contact patterns, we explored the possibilities and identified pitfalls. We found general dominance of day-type (weekend, holiday, working day) over weather conditions, but nonetheless observed an increase in long duration contacts ([Formula: see text]1 hour) on regular workdays with low temperatures, almost no precipitation and low absolute humidity of the air. Interestingly, these conditions are often assumed to be beneficial for virus survival and transmission. Further research is needed to establish the impact of the weather on social contacts. We recommend that future studies sample over a broad spectrum of weather conditions and day types and include a sufficiently large proportion of holiday periods and weekends.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/nice-day-infection-weather-conditions-social-contact-patterns-relevant-influenza-transmission", "reader_count"=>55, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Professor > Associate Professor"=>5, "Researcher"=>13, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>3, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>15, "Student > Postgraduate"=>4, "Student > Master"=>5, "Other"=>1, "Student > Bachelor"=>4, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>2, "Professor"=>3}, "reader_count_by_user_role"=>{"Professor > Associate Professor"=>5, "Researcher"=>13, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>3, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>15, "Student > Postgraduate"=>4, "Student > Master"=>5, "Other"=>1, "Student > Bachelor"=>4, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>2, "Professor"=>3}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Unspecified"=>1, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>12, "Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>1, "Chemistry"=>2, "Computer Science"=>1, "Nursing and Health Professions"=>2, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>2, "Mathematics"=>4, "Medicine and Dentistry"=>18, "Physics and Astronomy"=>5, "Psychology"=>2, "Social Sciences"=>3, "Immunology and Microbiology"=>2}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Medicine and Dentistry"=>{"Medicine and Dentistry"=>18}, "Social Sciences"=>{"Social Sciences"=>3}, "Physics and Astronomy"=>{"Physics and Astronomy"=>5}, "Psychology"=>{"Psychology"=>2}, "Mathematics"=>{"Mathematics"=>4}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>1}, "Chemistry"=>{"Chemistry"=>2}, "Immunology and Microbiology"=>{"Immunology and Microbiology"=>2}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>12}, "Computer Science"=>{"Computer Science"=>1}, "Nursing and Health Professions"=>{"Nursing and Health Professions"=>2}, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>{"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>2}, "Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>{"Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>1}}, "reader_count_by_country"=>{"Vietnam"=>2, "Austria"=>1, "United Kingdom"=>1, "Italy"=>1, "Israel"=>1, "France"=>2, "Germany"=>1}, "group_count"=>3}

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Figshare

  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/542334"], "description"=>"<p>Top: the mean daily temperature (line) and the total daily precipitation (bars). Middle: the daily number of diaries. Bottom: the mean number of social contacts per day. Holiday periods are marked at the bottom with squares.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["october", "2010", "february"], "article_id"=>212824, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Medicine", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Lander Willem", "Kim Van Kerckhove", "Dennis L. Chao", "Niel Hens", "Philippe Beutels"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048695.g001", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>4, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Overview_of_the_weather_and_the_social_contact_data_from_October_2010_until_February_2011_/212824", "title"=>"Overview of the weather and the social contact data from October 2010 until February 2011.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2012-11-14 00:47:04"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/542483"], "description"=>"<p>The boxes present the 95% confidence interval for the R ratios (left) and the mean number of contacts (right) during regular workdays for different contact types and durations. Top: comparison between days with high and low mean daily temperature. Bottom: comparison between days with high and low precipitation.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["contacts", "considering", "temperatures"], "article_id"=>212977, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Medicine", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Lander Willem", "Kim Van Kerckhove", "Dennis L. Chao", "Niel Hens", "Philippe Beutels"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048695.g003", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>3, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Relative_change_in_R_and_the_mean_number_of_contacts_considering_daily_temperatures_and_precipitation_/212977", "title"=>"Relative change in R and the mean number of contacts considering daily temperatures and precipitation.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2012-11-14 00:49:37"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/291528", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/291577"], "description"=>"<div><p>Although there is no doubt that significant morbidity and mortality occur during annual influenza epidemics, the role of contextual circumstances, which catalyze seasonal influenza transmission, remains unclear. Weather conditions are believed to affect virus survival, efficiency of transmission and host immunity, but seasonality may also be driven by a tendency of people to congregate indoors during periods of bad weather. To test this hypothesis, we combined data from a social contact survey in Belgium with local weather data. In the absence of a previous in-depth weather impact analysis of social contact patterns, we explored the possibilities and identified pitfalls. We found general dominance of day-type (weekend, holiday, working day) over weather conditions, but nonetheless observed an increase in long duration contacts (1 hour) on regular workdays with low temperatures, almost no precipitation and low absolute humidity of the air. Interestingly, these conditions are often assumed to be beneficial for virus survival and transmission. Further research is needed to establish the impact of the weather on social contacts. We recommend that future studies sample over a broad spectrum of weather conditions and day types and include a sufficiently large proportion of holiday periods and weekends.</p> </div>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["conditions", "patterns", "influenza", "transmission"], "article_id"=>117393, "categories"=>["Cancer", "Medicine", "Biotechnology"], "users"=>["Lander Willem", "Kim Van Kerckhove", "Dennis L. Chao", "Niel Hens", "Philippe Beutels"], "doi"=>["https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048695.s001", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048695.s002"], "stats"=>{"downloads"=>3, "page_views"=>9, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/A_Nice_Day_for_an_Infection_Weather_Conditions_and_Social_Contact_Patterns_Relevant_to_Influenza_Transmission__/117393", "title"=>"A Nice Day for an Infection? Weather Conditions and Social Contact Patterns Relevant to Influenza Transmission", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>4, "published_date"=>"2012-11-14 02:03:13"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/542556"], "description"=>"<p>The boxes present the 95% confidence interval for the R ratios (left) and the mean number of contacts (right) during regular workdays for different contact types and durations. AH: absolute humidity.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["contacts", "considering"], "article_id"=>213050, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Medicine", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Lander Willem", "Kim Van Kerckhove", "Dennis L. Chao", "Niel Hens", "Philippe Beutels"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048695.g004", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>4, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Relative_change_in_R_and_the_mean_number_of_contacts_considering_absolute_humidity_/213050", "title"=>"Relative change in R and the mean number of contacts considering absolute humidity.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2012-11-14 00:50:50"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/542428"], "description"=>"<p>The boxes present the 95% confidence interval for different contact types and durations. The relative changes are estimated by the ratio of the mean number of contact for the condition at the right side by the mean number of contact for the condition at the left side.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["contacts", "weekends", "periods"], "article_id"=>212921, "categories"=>["Biotechnology", "Medicine", "Infectious Diseases"], "users"=>["Lander Willem", "Kim Van Kerckhove", "Dennis L. Chao", "Niel Hens", "Philippe Beutels"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048695.g002", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>4, "page_views"=>5, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Relative_change_in_the_number_of_contacts_for_weekends_left_and_holiday_periods_right_/212921", "title"=>"Relative change in the number of contacts for weekends (left) and holiday periods (right).", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2012-11-14 00:48:41"}

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Relative Metric

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