Worldwide Niche and Future Potential Distribution of Culicoides imicola, a Major Vector of Bluetongue and African Horse Sickness Viruses
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{"title"=>"Worldwide niche and future potential distribution of Culicoides imicola, a major vector of bluetongue and african horse sickness viruses", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Sylvain", "last_name"=>"Guichard", "scopus_author_id"=>"35310092500"}, {"first_name"=>"Hé Lè Ne", "last_name"=>"Guis", "scopus_author_id"=>"22953801600"}, {"first_name"=>"Annelise", "last_name"=>"Tran", "scopus_author_id"=>"7103072369"}, {"first_name"=>"Claire", "last_name"=>"Garros", "scopus_author_id"=>"6507013067"}, {"first_name"=>"Thomas", "last_name"=>"Balenghien", "scopus_author_id"=>"23987673100"}, {"first_name"=>"Darren J.", "last_name"=>"Kriticos", "scopus_author_id"=>"55946461100"}], "year"=>2014, "source"=>"PLoS ONE", "identifiers"=>{"issn"=>"19326203", "scopus"=>"2-s2.0-84911410976", "sgr"=>"84911410976", "pui"=>"600489387", "isbn"=>"1932-6203", "pmid"=>"25391148", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0112491"}, "id"=>"347c1357-53f3-3e4c-9fe4-b2af4a0cf628", "abstract"=>"We modelled the ecoclimatic niche of Culicoides imicola, a major arthropod vector of midge-borne viral pathogens affecting ruminants and equids, at fine scale and on a global extent, so as to provide insight into current and future risks of disease epizootics, and increase current knowledge of the species' ecology. Based on the known distribution and ecology of C. imicola, the species' response to monthly climatic conditions was characterised using CLIMEX with 10′ spatial resolution climatic datasets. The species' climatic niche was projected worldwide and under future climatic scenarios. The validated model highlights the role of irrigation in supporting the occurrence of C. imicola in arid regions. In Europe, the modelled potential distribution of C. imicola extended further West than its reported distribution, raising questions regarding ongoing process of colonization and non-climatic habitat factors. The CLIMEX model highlighted similar ecological niches for C. imicola and the Australasian C. brevitarsis raising questions on biogeography and biosecurity. Under the climate change scenarios considered, its' modelled potential distribution could expand northward in the Northern hemisphere, whereas in Africa its range may contract in the future. The biosecurity risks from bluetongue and African horse sickness viruses need to be re-evaluated in regions where the vector's niche is suitable. Under a warmer climate, the risk of vector-borne epizootic pathogens such as bluetongue and African horse sickness viruses are likely to increase as the climate suitability for C. imicola shifts poleward, especially in Western Europe.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/worldwide-niche-future-potential-distribution-culicoides-imicola-major-vector-bluetongue-african-hor", "reader_count"=>51, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Unspecified"=>1, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>2, "Researcher"=>16, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>1, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>8, "Student > Postgraduate"=>4, "Other"=>7, "Student > Master"=>6, "Student > Bachelor"=>5, "Professor"=>1}, "reader_count_by_user_role"=>{"Unspecified"=>1, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>2, "Researcher"=>16, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>1, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>8, "Student > Postgraduate"=>4, "Other"=>7, "Student > Master"=>6, "Student > Bachelor"=>5, "Professor"=>1}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Unspecified"=>1, "Environmental Science"=>4, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>30, "Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>11, "Physics and Astronomy"=>1, "Chemistry"=>1, "Social Sciences"=>1, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>2}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Chemistry"=>{"Chemistry"=>1}, "Social Sciences"=>{"Social Sciences"=>1}, "Physics and Astronomy"=>{"Physics and Astronomy"=>1}, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>{"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>2}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>30}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>1}, "Environmental Science"=>{"Environmental Science"=>4}, "Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>{"Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine"=>11}}, "reader_count_by_country"=>{"Netherlands"=>1, "United States"=>1, "South Africa"=>1, "Spain"=>2}, "group_count"=>7}

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Figshare

  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/1790297"], "description"=>"<p>Cross-hatching indicates suitable areas when irrigation is integrated in the model (Appendix S2 in <a href=\"http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0112491#pone.0112491.s001\" target=\"_blank\">File S1</a>). Highly suitable areas in dark.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["African horse sickness viruses need", "African horse sickness viruses", "imicola shifts poleward", "climex", "niche", "climate change scenarios", "modelled", "future", "Culicoides imicola", "species"], "article_id"=>1238309, "categories"=>["Biological Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Sylvain Guichard", "Hélène Guis", "Annelise Tran", "Claire Garros", "Thomas Balenghien", "Darren J. Kriticos"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0112491.g002", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>19, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Global_climate_suitability_for_Culicoides_imicola_under_historical_conditions_as_represented_by_the_CLIMEX_Ecoclimatic_Index_EI_for_the_completed_model_/1238309", "title"=>"Global climate suitability for <i>Culicoides imicola</i> under historical conditions as represented by the CLIMEX Ecoclimatic Index (EI) for the completed model.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2014-11-12 03:24:47"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/1790290"], "description"=>"<p>Cross-hatched areas are zones of inhospitable habitat (Adriatic Sea, Sahara Desert and Red Sea) separating the 3 model-fitting zones.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["African horse sickness viruses need", "African horse sickness viruses", "imicola shifts poleward", "climex", "niche", "climate change scenarios", "modelled", "future", "Culicoides imicola", "species"], "article_id"=>1238302, "categories"=>["Biological Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Sylvain Guichard", "Hélène Guis", "Annelise Tran", "Claire Garros", "Thomas Balenghien", "Darren J. Kriticos"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0112491.g001", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>1, "page_views"=>108, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Distribution_of_Culicoides_imicola_and_study_area_training_verification_and_validation_zones_for_modelling_with_respectively_187_131_561_occurrences_at_10_granularity_with_K_ppen_Geiger_climate_simplified_classification_33_/1238302", "title"=>"Distribution of <i>Culicoides imicola</i> and study area: <i>training</i>, <i>verification</i> and <i>validation</i> zones for modelling (with respectively 187, 131, 561 occurrences at 10′ granularity) with Köppen-Geiger climate simplified classification [33].", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2014-11-12 03:24:47"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/1790298"], "description"=>"<p>a) qualitative variation highlighted the expansion (current EI = 0, future EI>0) and the contraction (current EI>0, future EI = 0) of suitable areas for 2070 projection. b) quantitative variation illustrated climatic suitability increases or decreases. Small and large EI variations represented respectively differences in the range 3–30 and 31–100.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["African horse sickness viruses need", "African horse sickness viruses", "imicola shifts poleward", "climex", "niche", "climate change scenarios", "modelled", "future", "Culicoides imicola", "species"], "article_id"=>1238310, "categories"=>["Biological Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Sylvain Guichard", "Hélène Guis", "Annelise Tran", "Claire Garros", "Thomas Balenghien", "Darren J. Kriticos"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0112491.g003", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>17, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Forecast_variation_of_ecoclimatic_suitability_between_historical_climate_current_EI_and_2070_projected_climate_future_EI_from_A2_climate_scenarios_using_CSIRO_MK3_0_climate_models_/1238310", "title"=>"Forecast variation of ecoclimatic suitability between historical climate (current EI) and 2070 projected climate (future EI) from A2 climate scenarios using CSIRO-MK3.0 climate models.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2014-11-12 03:24:47"}
  • {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/1790299"], "description"=>"<div><p>We modelled the ecoclimatic niche of <i>Culicoides imicola</i>, a major arthropod vector of midge-borne viral pathogens affecting ruminants and equids, at fine scale and on a global extent, so as to provide insight into current and future risks of disease epizootics, and increase current knowledge of the species' ecology. Based on the known distribution and ecology of <i>C. imicola</i>, the species' response to monthly climatic conditions was characterised using CLIMEX with 10′ spatial resolution climatic datasets. The species' climatic niche was projected worldwide and under future climatic scenarios. The validated model highlights the role of irrigation in supporting the occurrence of <i>C. imicola</i> in arid regions. In Europe, the modelled potential distribution of <i>C. imicola</i> extended further West than its reported distribution, raising questions regarding ongoing process of colonization and non-climatic habitat factors. The CLIMEX model highlighted similar ecological niches for <i>C. imicola</i> and the Australasian <i>C. brevitarsis</i> raising questions on biogeography and biosecurity. Under the climate change scenarios considered, its' modelled potential distribution could expand northward in the Northern hemisphere, whereas in Africa its range may contract in the future. The biosecurity risks from bluetongue and African horse sickness viruses need to be re-evaluated in regions where the vector's niche is suitable. Under a warmer climate, the risk of vector-borne epizootic pathogens such as bluetongue and African horse sickness viruses are likely to increase as the climate suitability for <i>C. imicola</i> shifts poleward, especially in Western Europe.</p></div>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["African horse sickness viruses need", "African horse sickness viruses", "imicola shifts poleward", "climex", "niche", "climate change scenarios", "modelled", "future", "Culicoides imicola", "species"], "article_id"=>1238311, "categories"=>["Biological Sciences", "Ecology"], "users"=>["Sylvain Guichard", "Hélène Guis", "Annelise Tran", "Claire Garros", "Thomas Balenghien", "Darren J. Kriticos"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0112491", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>2, "page_views"=>10, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/Worldwide_Niche_and_Future_Potential_Distribution_of_Culicoides_imicola_a_Major_Vector_of_Bluetongue_and_African_Horse_Sickness_Viruses/1238311", "title"=>"Worldwide Niche and Future Potential Distribution of <i>Culicoides imicola</i>, a Major Vector of Bluetongue and African Horse Sickness Viruses", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>3, "published_date"=>"2014-11-12 03:24:47"}

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