Forest loss in New England: A projection of recent trends
Publication Date
December 14, 2017
Authors
Jonathan R. Thompson, Joshua S. Plisinski, Pontus Olofsson, Christopher E. Holden, et al
Volume
12
Issue
12
Pages
e0189636
DOI
https://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0189636
Publisher URL
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0189636
Scopus
85038423012
Mendeley
http://www.mendeley.com/research/forest-loss-new-england-projection-recent-trends
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Mendeley | Further Information

{"title"=>"Forest loss in New England: A projection of recent trends", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Jonathan R.", "last_name"=>"Thompson", "scopus_author_id"=>"55492716300"}, {"first_name"=>"Joshua S.", "last_name"=>"Plisinski", "scopus_author_id"=>"56305736200"}, {"first_name"=>"Pontus", "last_name"=>"Olofsson", "scopus_author_id"=>"16023089200"}, {"first_name"=>"Christopher E.", "last_name"=>"Holden", "scopus_author_id"=>"56535986400"}, {"first_name"=>"Matthew J.", "last_name"=>"Duveneck", "scopus_author_id"=>"27067752700"}], "year"=>2017, "source"=>"PLoS ONE", "identifiers"=>{"issn"=>"19326203", "scopus"=>"2-s2.0-85038423012", "pui"=>"619817183", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0189636", "isbn"=>"1111111111", "sgr"=>"85038423012"}, "id"=>"99ccb3b7-b5c6-3ca3-892f-6899b9820908", "abstract"=>"New England has lost more than 350,000 ha of forest cover since 1985, marking a reversal of a two-hundred-year trend of forest expansion. We a cellular land-cover change model to project a continuation of recent trends (1990–2010) in forest loss across six New England states from 2010 to 2060. Recent trends were estimated using a continuous change detec-tion algorithm applied to twenty years of Landsat images. We addressed three questions: (1) What would be the consequences of a continuation of the recent trends in terms of changes to New England's forest cover mosaic? (2) What social and biophysical attributes are most strongly associated with recent trends in forest loss, and how do these vary geo-graphically? (3) How sensitive are projections of forest loss to the reference period—i.e. how do projections based on the period spanning 1990-to-2000 differ from 2000-to-2010, or from the full period, 1990-to-2010? Over the full reference period, 8201 ha yr-1 and 468 ha yr-1 of forest were lost to low-and high-density development, respectively. Forest loss was concentrated in suburban areas, particularly near Boston. Of the variables considered, 'dis-tance to developed land' was the strongest predictor of forest loss. The next most important predictor varied geographically: 'distance to roads' ranked second in the more developed regions in the south and 'population density' ranked second in the less developed north. The importance and geographical variation in predictor variables were relatively stable between reference periods. In contrast, there was 55% more forest loss during the 1990-to-2000 ref-erence period compared to the 2000-to-2010 period, highlighting the importance of under-standing the variation in reference periods when projecting land cover change. The projection of recent trends is an important baseline scenario with implications for the man-agement of forest ecosystems and the services they provide.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/forest-loss-new-england-projection-recent-trends", "reader_count"=>14, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Unspecified"=>1, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>1, "Researcher"=>6, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>4, "Student > Master"=>1, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>1}, "reader_count_by_user_role"=>{"Unspecified"=>1, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>1, "Researcher"=>6, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>4, "Student > Master"=>1, "Lecturer > Senior Lecturer"=>1}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Unspecified"=>2, "Environmental Science"=>8, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>1, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>3}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>{"Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>3}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>1}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>2}, "Environmental Science"=>{"Environmental Science"=>8}}, "group_count"=>0}

Scopus | Further Information

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