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• {"link"=>{"url"=>"http://www.citeulike.org/user/meteohh/article/13779972"}, "post_time"=>"2015-10-01 09:27:39", "tag"=>"no-tag", "linkout"=>{"type"=>"DOI", "url"=>"http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208"}, "username"=>"meteohh", "article_id"=>"13779972"}

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{"title"=>"Tracking public beliefs about anthropogenic climate change", "type"=>"journal", "authors"=>[{"first_name"=>"Lawrence C.", "last_name"=>"Hamilton", "scopus_author_id"=>"7101728566"}, {"first_name"=>"Joel", "last_name"=>"Hartter", "scopus_author_id"=>"23492457100"}, {"first_name"=>"Mary", "last_name"=>"Lemcke-Stampone", "scopus_author_id"=>"56698281900"}, {"first_name"=>"David W.", "last_name"=>"Moore", "scopus_author_id"=>"55465401900"}, {"first_name"=>"Thomas G.", "last_name"=>"Safford", "scopus_author_id"=>"35729398300"}], "year"=>2015, "source"=>"PLoS ONE", "identifiers"=>{"pui"=>"606955453", "sgr"=>"84947999081", "pmid"=>"26422694", "scopus"=>"2-s2.0-84947999081", "doi"=>"10.1371/journal.pone.0138208", "issn"=>"19326203"}, "id"=>"f28b3b2d-2f29-3100-b526-7e1a9272814b", "abstract"=>"A simple question about climate change, with one choice designed tomatch consensus statements by scientists, was asked on 35 US nationwide, single-state or regional surveys from 2010 to 2015. Analysis of these data (over 28,000 interviews) yields robust and exceptionally well replicated findings on public beliefs about anthropogenic climate change, including regional variations, change over time, demographic bases, and the interacting effects of respondent education and political views.We find thatmore than half of the US public accepts the scientific consensus that climate change is happening now, caused mainly by human activities. A sizable, politically oppositeminority (about 30 to 40%) concede the fact of climate change, but believe it has mainly natural causes. Few (about 10 to 15%) say they believe climate is not changing, or express no opinion. The overall proportions appear relatively stable nationwide, but exhibit place-to-place variations. Detailed analysis of 21 consecutive surveys within one fairly representative state (New Hampshire) finds a mild but statistically significant rise in agreement with the scientific consensus over 2010–2015. Effects from daily temperature are detectable but minor. Hurricane Sandy, which brushed New Hampshire but caused no disaster there, shows no lasting impact on that state’s time series—suggesting that nonimmediate weather disasters have limited effects. In all datasets political orientation dominates among individual-level predictors of climate beliefs,moderating the otherwise positive effects fromeducation. Acceptance of anthropogenic climate change rises with education among Democrats and Independents, but not so among Republicans. The continuing series of surveys provides a baseline for tracking how future scientific, political, socioeconomic or climate developments impact public acceptance of the scientific consensus.", "link"=>"http://www.mendeley.com/research/tracking-public-beliefs-about-anthropogenic-climate-change", "reader_count"=>43, "reader_count_by_academic_status"=>{"Unspecified"=>1, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>3, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>5, "Researcher"=>3, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>7, "Student > Postgraduate"=>2, "Student > Master"=>12, "Other"=>2, "Student > Bachelor"=>6, "Professor"=>2}, "reader_count_by_user_role"=>{"Unspecified"=>1, "Professor > Associate Professor"=>3, "Student > Doctoral Student"=>5, "Researcher"=>3, "Student > Ph. D. Student"=>7, "Student > Postgraduate"=>2, "Student > Master"=>12, "Other"=>2, "Student > Bachelor"=>6, "Professor"=>2}, "reader_count_by_subject_area"=>{"Engineering"=>2, "Unspecified"=>2, "Environmental Science"=>10, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>1, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>5, "Medicine and Dentistry"=>2, "Psychology"=>4, "Social Sciences"=>15, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>1, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>1}, "reader_count_by_subdiscipline"=>{"Engineering"=>{"Engineering"=>2}, "Medicine and Dentistry"=>{"Medicine and Dentistry"=>2}, "Social Sciences"=>{"Social Sciences"=>15}, "Psychology"=>{"Psychology"=>4}, "Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>{"Earth and Planetary Sciences"=>1}, "Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>{"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"=>1}, "Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>{"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"=>5}, "Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>{"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"=>1}, "Unspecified"=>{"Unspecified"=>2}, "Environmental Science"=>{"Environmental Science"=>10}}, "reader_count_by_country"=>{"United States"=>2}, "group_count"=>3}

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• http://doi.org/10.1080/13504622.2017.1318114
• http://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0020.1
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• http://doi.org/10.1177/0038038516648547

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Journal Comments | Further Information

• {"type"=>"COMMENT", "annotationUri"=>"info:doi/10.1371/annotation/1515ad3c-7a68-46c6-a279-64dca187c264", "title"=>"Literature on public opinion trends", "body"=>"The authors of this paper write in the introduction that \"public opinion remains seriously divided, without a clear trend\".\n\nThis is not the case. In fact, many studies have shown a decrease in public concern about climate change over the last decade or so. Here are some of these papers. \n\nAnderegg and Goldsmith, Public interest in climate change over the past decade and the effects of the ‘climategate’ media event\nEnviron. Res. Lett. 9 (2014) 054005\n\"We document here a strong decline in public attention to climate change since 2007\".\n\nCapstick et al, International trends in public perceptions of climate change over the past quarter century.\nWIREs Clim Change (2014). doi: 10.1002/wcc.321\n\"Studies point to growing skepticism in the latter 2000s in some developed countries\".\n\nEngels et al, Public climate-change skepticism, energy preferences and political participation.\nGlobal Environmental Change (2013):\n\"Many studies have shown a general decline of public concern about climate change or vice versa a rise in public climate-change skepticism, in particular in the U.S. and other Anglo-Saxon countries\".\n\nPidgeon, Climate Change Risk Perception and Communication: Addressing a Critical Moment? \nRisk Analysis, Vol. 32, (2012): \n\"a consistent trend has been observed of falling concern in many countries over the period 2006–2010\". \n\nScruggs and Benegal, Declining public concern about climate change: Can we blame the great recession?\nGlobal Environmental Change 22 (2012) 505–515\n\"Social surveys suggest that the American public’s concern about climate change has declined dramatically since 2008.\"\n\nSmith and Leiserowitz,\nThe Rise of GlobalWarming Skepticism: Exploring Affective Image Associations in the United States Over Time\nRisk Analysis, Vol. 32, No. 6, (2012)\n\"The results demonstrate a large increase in “naysayer” associations, indicating extreme skepticism about the issue of climate change.\" \n\nTranter and Booth, Scepticism in a changing climate: A cross-national study.\nGlobal Environmental Change 33 (2015) 154–164.\n\"the proportions of climate sceptics appear to be increasing in many countries.\" \n", "isRemoved"=>false, "created"=>"2016-01-25T14:43:18Z", "lastModified"=>"2016-01-25T14:43:18Z", "creator"=>{"userId"=>"499705"}, "highlightedText"=>"", "competingInterestStatement"=>{"creatorWasPrompted"=>true, "hasCompetingInterests"=>false}, "parentArticle"=>{"doi"=>"info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208", "state"=>"published", "journals"=>{"PLoSONE"=>{"journalKey"=>"PLoSONE", "eIssn"=>"1932-6203", "title"=>"PLOS ONE"}}}, "replyTreeSize"=>1, "mostRecentActivity"=>"2016-01-27T20:25:28Z", "replies"=>[{"type"=>"REPLY", "parentID"=>88096, "annotationUri"=>"info:doi/10.1371/reply/8e598c1c-1e4b-45cb-80ae-5fa99fcbfc3f", "title"=>"RE: Literature on public opinion trends", "body"=>"Perhaps we disagree on what constitutes a \"clear trend.\"\n\nCapstick et al. (2015) distinguish 4 stages in survey research on public concern about climate change. Paraphrasing, these are roughly: (A) 1980s to early 1990s, increasing knowledge & awareness; (B) mid 1990s to mid 2000s, growth & fluctuation; (C) mid 2000s to late 2000s, increasing skepticism & polarization; (D) late 2000s to early 2010s, some stabilization & increasing concern. Their Figure 3 graphs response percentages to \"how serious\" questions on US surveys 1989-2014. Like the authors' narrative, the graphed percentages show ups and downs without a clear trend.\n\nChanges on shorter time scales, notably some declines occurring around stage (C) or (C to D), have been observed in diverse datasets including several described in the papers cited above. On the other hand, a few recent surveys (D and post-D) find indications that public concern about climate may be rising again. Someone might choose to call change within any particular time window a \"trend,\" but that needs qualification.\n\nIn our own New Hampshire time series, based on 11,548 interviews from spring 2010 to spring 2015, we see a slight but statistically significant \"upward\" trend, visible in Fig. 2A and tested with the odds ratio for \"year\" in Table 2. On two more recent surveys (summer and fall 2015) this trend has continued. Obviously our finding of an upward trend needs careful qualification (single-state data, 2010 to 2015, etc.), but it -- along with 3 compatible nationwide surveys in our Fig 2A, and independent results including Gallup and the Yale Project on Climate Change -- argues against the hypothesis of continuing decrease. As an overall summary for something that apparently changed in different directions at different times (and places), including a recent reverse, \"without a clear trend\" still seems fair.", "isRemoved"=>false, "created"=>"2016-01-27T20:25:28Z", "lastModified"=>"2016-01-27T20:25:28Z", "creator"=>{"userId"=>"433606"}, "highlightedText"=>"", "competingInterestStatement"=>{"creatorWasPrompted"=>true, "hasCompetingInterests"=>false}, "parentArticle"=>{"doi"=>"info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208", "state"=>"published", "journals"=>{"PLoSONE"=>{"journalKey"=>"PLoSONE", "eIssn"=>"1932-6203", "title"=>"PLOS ONE"}}}, "replyTreeSize"=>0, "mostRecentActivity"=>"2016-01-27T20:25:28Z", "replies"=>[]}]}

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• {"id"=>"649501112337362944", "text"=>"#PLOSONE: Tracking Public Beliefs About Anthropogenic Climate Change http://t.co/WvKmq4XQNg HT @theresphysics", "created_at"=>"2015-10-01T08:28:26Z", "user"=>"geschichtenpost", "user_name"=>"O. Bothe （￣□￣；）", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/617640384232034304/3ng8tFdy_normal.jpg"}
• {"id"=>"649515107999973376", "text"=>"RT @geschichtenpost: #PLOSONE: Tracking Public Beliefs About Anthropogenic Climate Change http://t.co/WvKmq4XQNg HT @theresphysics", "created_at"=>"2015-10-01T09:24:03Z", "user"=>"RichardTol", "user_name"=>"Richard Tol", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/460768432409952256/Y6G0-U1X_normal.jpeg"}
• {"id"=>"649516402643202048", "text"=>"RT @geschichtenpost: #PLOSONE: Tracking Public Beliefs About Anthropogenic Climate Change http://t.co/WvKmq4XQNg HT @theresphysics", "created_at"=>"2015-10-01T09:29:12Z", "user"=>"BjerknesBCCR", "user_name"=>"Bjerknessenteret ", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1425953127/logoBCCR_normal.jpg"}
• {"id"=>"649642858127982592", "text"=>"Climate change along party lines and education levels. https://t.co/ir99RDW6Et https://t.co/RZgyOw5cHk", "created_at"=>"2015-10-01T17:51:41Z", "user"=>"haroldkimlab", "user_name"=>"Harold D. Kim", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/614500087985741824/Ood325Be_normal.jpg"}
• {"id"=>"653688241904840704", "text"=>"#PLOSONE: Tracking Public Beliefs About Anthropogenic Climate Change http://t.co/8vZWs0FBiF", "created_at"=>"2015-10-12T21:46:36Z", "user"=>"Arthur59611540", "user_name"=>"ALC", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/549973168278892544/puAk_wp7_normal.jpeg"}
• {"id"=>"657188512345825281", "text"=>"@gregladen Better survey question: is climate change happening & caused mainly by humans https://t.co/rjIRMySd0x https://t.co/7N9V3kdmeB", "created_at"=>"2015-10-22T13:35:25Z", "user"=>"ichiloe", "user_name"=>"Larry Hamilton", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/274990917/IMG_0405c_normal.jpg"}
• {"id"=>"675066078037438464", "text"=>"#PLOSONE: Tracking Public Beliefs About Anthropogenic Climate Change https://t.co/yveq7MBtIS #VOTE", "created_at"=>"2015-12-10T21:34:29Z", "user"=>"GetOffYourAsana", "user_name"=>"jennee", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/671526880164585472/pak3iWe-_normal.jpg"}
• {"id"=>"675066358854459392", "text"=>"#PLOSONE: Tracking Public Beliefs About Anthropogenic Climate Change https://t.co/yveq7MBtIS #VOTE #climatechange #publicopinion", "created_at"=>"2015-12-10T21:35:36Z", "user"=>"GetOffYourAsana", "user_name"=>"jennee", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/671526880164585472/pak3iWe-_normal.jpg"}
• {"id"=>"690543771256156161", "text"=>"RT @ichiloe: @gregladen Better survey question: is climate change happening & caused mainly by humans https://t.co/rjIRMySd0x https://t.co…", "created_at"=>"2016-01-22T14:37:19Z", "user"=>"alejandrortiz77", "user_name"=>"Compa Alejandro", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/535674771145383936/Cp9d_lRP_normal.jpeg"}
• {"id"=>"691682808901832704", "text"=>"Comment posted on poor understanding of literature by Hamilton et al @PLOSONE paper on public opinion on climate\nhttps://t.co/N5XEVuLc7R", "created_at"=>"2016-01-25T18:03:27Z", "user"=>"etzpcm", "user_name"=>"Paul Matthews", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1901554569/l12_normal.jpg"}
• {"id"=>"691686865599098880", "text"=>"RT @etzpcm: Comment posted on poor understanding of literature by Hamilton et al @PLOSONE paper on public opinion on climate\nhttps://t.co/N…", "created_at"=>"2016-01-25T18:19:34Z", "user"=>"BarryJWoods", "user_name"=>"Barry Woods", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/3780292944/2a33dd431183663e3963791bd82d57f0_normal.jpeg"}
• {"id"=>"922456247009529857", "text"=>"Some background on this question here: https://t.co/rjIRMySd0x https://t.co/MNnqvDqlvy", "created_at"=>"2017-10-23T13:34:42Z", "user"=>"ichiloe", "user_name"=>"Larry Hamilton", "user_profile_image"=>"http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/274990917/IMG_0405c_normal.jpg"}

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Figshare

• {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294339"], "description"=>"<p>Respondents who said they do not know, or gave no answer, are categorized as DK/NA in (A).</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["climate developments impact", "consensus", "climate change", "anthropogenic climate change", "survey", "Tracking Public Beliefs", "New Hampshire"], "article_id"=>1560758, "categories"=>["Uncategorised"], "users"=>["Lawrence C. Hamilton", "Joel Hartter", "Mary Lemcke-Stampone", "David W. Moore", "Thomas G. Safford"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.g001", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>6, "page_views"=>35, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_A_Response_percentages_for_climate_change_question_on_3_national_and_21_statewide_New_Hampshire_surveys_B_percentage_choosing_the_now_human_response_on_11_CERA_CAFOR_surveys_/1560758", "title"=>"(A) Response percentages for climate-change question on 3 national and 21 statewide New Hampshire surveys; (B) percentage choosing the now/human response on 11 CERA/CAFOR surveys.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2015-09-30 03:35:55"}
• {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294341"], "description"=>"<p>Surveys graphed at median interview dates, and shown with 95% confidence intervals.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["climate developments impact", "consensus", "climate change", "anthropogenic climate change", "survey", "Tracking Public Beliefs", "New Hampshire"], "article_id"=>1560760, "categories"=>["Uncategorised"], "users"=>["Lawrence C. Hamilton", "Joel Hartter", "Mary Lemcke-Stampone", "David W. Moore", "Thomas G. Safford"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.g002", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>2, "page_views"=>11, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_A_Now_human_response_by_date_of_survey_and_B_broken_down_by_political_party_spring_2010_to_spring_2015_/1560760", "title"=>"(A) Now/human response by date of survey, and (B) broken down by political party, spring 2010 to spring 2015.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>1, "published_date"=>"2015-09-30 03:35:55"}
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• {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294344"], "description"=>"<p>* <i>p</i> < .05</p><p>** <i>p</i> < 0.1</p><p>*** <i>p</i> < .001</p><p>Odds ratios from weighted logistic regression.</p>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["climate developments impact", "consensus", "climate change", "anthropogenic climate change", "survey", "Tracking Public Beliefs", "New Hampshire"], "article_id"=>1560763, "categories"=>["Uncategorised"], "users"=>["Lawrence C. Hamilton", "Joel Hartter", "Mary Lemcke-Stampone", "David W. Moore", "Thomas G. Safford"], "doi"=>"https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.t002", "stats"=>{"downloads"=>0, "page_views"=>20, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Individual_characteristics_all_surveys_and_county_CERA_CAFOR_or_season_daily_temperature_anomaly_and_year_GSP_as_predictors_of_belief_that_climate_change_is_happening_now_caused_mainly_by_human_activities_/1560763", "title"=>"Individual characteristics (all surveys), and county (CERA/CAFOR) or season, daily temperature anomaly and year (GSP), as predictors of belief that climate change is happening now, caused mainly by human activities.", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>3, "published_date"=>"2015-09-30 03:35:55"}
• {"files"=>["https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294347", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294348", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294349", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294350", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294351", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294352", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294353", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294354", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294355", "https://ndownloader.figshare.com/files/2294356"], "description"=>"<div><p>A simple question about climate change, with one choice designed to match consensus statements by scientists, was asked on 35 US nationwide, single-state or regional surveys from 2010 to 2015. Analysis of these data (over 28,000 interviews) yields robust and exceptionally well replicated findings on public beliefs about anthropogenic climate change, including regional variations, change over time, demographic bases, and the interacting effects of respondent education and political views. We find that more than half of the US public accepts the scientific consensus that climate change is happening now, caused mainly by human activities. A sizable, politically opposite minority (about 30 to 40%) concede the fact of climate change, but believe it has mainly natural causes. Few (about 10 to 15%) say they believe climate is not changing, or express no opinion. The overall proportions appear relatively stable nationwide, but exhibit place-to-place variations. Detailed analysis of 21 consecutive surveys within one fairly representative state (New Hampshire) finds a mild but statistically significant rise in agreement with the scientific consensus over 2010–2015. Effects from daily temperature are detectable but minor. Hurricane Sandy, which brushed New Hampshire but caused no disaster there, shows no lasting impact on that state’s time series—suggesting that non-immediate weather disasters have limited effects. In all datasets political orientation dominates among individual-level predictors of climate beliefs, moderating the otherwise positive effects from education. Acceptance of anthropogenic climate change rises with education among Democrats and Independents, but not so among Republicans. The continuing series of surveys provides a baseline for tracking how future scientific, political, socioeconomic or climate developments impact public acceptance of the scientific consensus.</p></div>", "links"=>[], "tags"=>["climate developments impact", "consensus", "climate change", "anthropogenic climate change", "survey", "Tracking Public Beliefs", "New Hampshire"], "article_id"=>1560766, "categories"=>["Uncategorised"], "users"=>["Lawrence C. Hamilton", "Joel Hartter", "Mary Lemcke-Stampone", "David W. Moore", "Thomas G. Safford"], "doi"=>["https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s001", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s002", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s003", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s004", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s005", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s006", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s007", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s008", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s009", "https://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0138208.s010"], "stats"=>{"downloads"=>4, "page_views"=>10, "likes"=>0}, "figshare_url"=>"https://figshare.com/articles/_Tracking_Public_Beliefs_About_Anthropogenic_Climate_Change_/1560766", "title"=>"Tracking Public Beliefs About Anthropogenic Climate Change", "pos_in_sequence"=>0, "defined_type"=>4, "published_date"=>"2015-09-30 03:35:55"}

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Relative Metric

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F1000Prime